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B.C. housing supply way up amid economic uncertainty

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The B.C. housing market is softening, with buyers pulling back on sales due to concerns around the Canadian economy and the U.S. trade war.

The BC Real Estate Association released its 2025 second quarter housing forecast Wednesday. The association says it expected a strong 2025 for sales, but that hasn’t happened.

Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson says buyers have pulled back in the first quarter of the year.

“We were expecting something close to a normal year. So that would be around 85,000 sales. Instead, we’re running 20 to 25 per cent below that pace. So sales have really, really come off. Buyers just don’t have a lot of confidence right now because of all that uncertainty,” said Ogmundson.

He says the inventory of homes has reached the highest level in about a decade.

“And that means lots of choice for buyers, lots of time for buyers — not a whole lot of urgency. Sellers are also not in a hurry to lower their prices,” he explained.

But Ogmundson explains that increased supply hasn’t done much to change prices.

“[Sellers] seem very, very patient, so we’re not seeing a whole lot of movement on the price side. Prices have been essentially flat for the past 18 months — down a little bit in more expensive markets, Fraser Valley and Vancouver, but down by [around] one to two per cent.”

He says B.C. has “all the ingredients” for a much stronger market, and sales were up in the last quarter of last year.

“And now, suddenly, they aren’t. The only thing you can really see that’s changed is a lot of uncertainty about the future of the economy.”

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