Mortgage Rate Forecast
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Mortgage Rate Forecast

  • Ongoing trade tensions are creating significant uncertainty in financial markets. 
  • Surprisingly strong economic growth to close 2024 could be upended by tariffs. 
  • The Bank of Canada’s response to tariffs is complicated by potentially higher inflation. 
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    B.C. housing supply way up amid economic uncertainty

    Posted April 30, 2025 4:15 pm. Last Updated April 30, 2025 4:16 pm. The B.C. housing market is softening, with buyers pulling back on sales due to concerns around the Canadian economy and the U.S. trade war. The BC Real Estate Association released its 2025 second quarter housing forecast Wednesday. The association says it expected a strong 2025 for sales, but that hasn’t happened. Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson says buyers have pulled back in the first quarter of the year. “We were expecting something close to a normal year. So that would be around 85,000 sales. Instead, we’re running 20 to 25 per cent below that pace. So sales have really, really come off. Buyers just don’t have a lot of confidence right now because of all that uncertainty,” said Ogmundson. He says the inventory of homes has reached the highest level in about a decade. “And that means lots of choice for buyers, lots of time for buyers — not a whole lot of urgency. Sellers are also not in a hurry to lower their prices,” he explained. But Ogmundson explains that increased supply hasn’t done much to change prices. “[Sellers] seem very, very patient, so we’re not seeing a whole lot of movement on the price side. Prices have been essentially flat for the past 18 months — down a little bit in more expensive markets, Fraser Valley and Vancouver, but down by [around] one to two per cent.” He says B.C. has “all the ingredients” for a much stronger market, and sales were up in the last quarter of last year. “And now, suddenly, they aren’t. The only thing you can really see that’s changed is a lot of uncertainty about the future of the economy.” —With files from Sonia Aslam

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    Are you financially ready to own a home

    How to calculate how much you’re spending now, what you can afford and your future expenses. Are you financially ready to own a home? Look into these 5 calculations and questions before you meet with your broker or lender. QUALIFYING FOR A MORTGAGE There are 2 affordability rules that determine how much you can spend on housing without…

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    From Refugee Camp to Real Estate

    Overcoming Barriers to Homeownership For many newcomers and first-time buyers, the barriers to homeownership can seem insurmountable: lack of credit history, limited savings for a down payment, and unfamiliarity with the real estate process. But with the right knowledge and resources, these challenges can be overcome. Programs like Rent-to-Own Options and Down Payment Assistance Programs are game-changers, especially for…

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    Developer reimagines Capilano Mall with 3,100 homes, 40 storey towers, and new park

    There will be 11 towers in total and the range of tower heights will vary between 12 and 40 storeys. A massive new redevelopment is planned on North Shore as Capilano Mall is reimagined with more than 3,000 housing units in eleven 12-to-40-storey tower buildings. A new community centre and a 1.5-acre park are also…

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    Gregor Robertson housing comment reflects a deeper truth, says urban planner

    Posted May 21, 2025 8:09 pm. Last Updated May 21, 2025 10:53 pm. When former Vancouver mayor Gregor Robertson made his comment on Canada’s housing market last week, there might have been more truth in it than many of his critics want to admit. “Finally, someone said it out loud, something we all know, but are not supposed to say,” said long-time Vancouver city councillor and urban planner, Gord Price in an interview with 1130NewsRadio. Not even 24 hours into his new role as Minister of Housing, Infrastructure and Communities, Robertson was clipped saying he does not think housing prices need to be lower . But Price is coming to Gregor Robertson’s defence and thinks critics should widen their lens. “I am not sure how much people really want government to be setting the price up or down.” Price said. “Even if they could, they really can not and you would not want them to.” Price explains that it is important to remember that the housing market moves with global trends. And, if government tries to push prices down too hard, they risk setting off a chain reaction that could destabilize the economy. “If you do not like inflation, you are sure not going to like deflation,” Price argued.

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    Nearly 4,300 properties in Broadway Plan and Cambie Plan areas to be proactively rezoned by the City of Vancouver

    The City of Vancouver is moving forward with a sweeping proposal to proactively rezone thousands of properties in the Broadway Plan and Cambie Corridor Plan areas, as part of an ambitious effort to streamline the development process and boost housing supply near existing and future SkyTrain stations. In next Tuesday’s public meeting, City Council is expected to endorse City staff’s recommendation to refer bylaw amendments to a future public hearing for deliberation and final decision, which would likely be held in September or October — after the forthcoming summer break. This follows City staff’s public consultation beginning in March 2025, when they first announced the proposal. In an interview with Daily Hive Urbanized early this year, Josh White, the City of Vancouver’s general manager of planning, urban design, and sustainability and director of planning, also outlined many of these forthcoming changes. More details have now been released. If approved by City Council later this year, this would introduce standardized zoning for low-rise, mid-rise, and high-rise residential buildings — generally aligning with the existing prescriptions and stipulations of the property’s location under the Broadway Plan or Cambie Corridor Plan, while also considering more recent economic and financial viability factors. Generally, R3 zones would allow low-rise apartments up to six storeys — or eight storeys with affordable housing, and a floor area ratio (FAR) density of a floor area up to three times the size of the lot. R4 zones would support mid-rise buildings, typically around 12 storeys and a FAR density of up to 4.0. R5 zones would permit high-rise towers up to 22 storeys and a FAR density of up to 6.5, depending on the proximity to SkyTrain stations and affordability requirements. It is noted that FAR densities will be retained, but a more generous maximum building height will be considered to accommodate a greater range of design approaches due to varying site conditions and on-site public spaces and landscaping. Through such City-initiated rezoning over large swaths of neighbourhoods, this eliminates the need for property owners, developers, and builders to submit an individual rezoning application for their project. Instead, such projects on a City-initiated rezoned site can go straight to the development permit application, which will save applicants costs related to City fees and hiring architects and consultants to achieve the rezoning regulatory step, as well as reducing opportunity costs and added construction costs from inflation as a result of a longer timeline. City staff estimate that these blanket zoning reforms over the qualifying properties will shave 12 to 15 months off the overall development timeline. As well, this will reduce City staff’s time set aside for reports and public hearings with City Council, enabling them to reallocate resources to other tasks and priorities. So far in 2025, rezoning applications in the Broadway Plan and Cambie Corridor Plan account for about 40 per cent of all public hearings. In sites where a tower form is permitted and complex site conditions also exist — such as tower per block limit policies, building shadowing considerations, and contaminated soils, a “rezoning-to-district” process would still be required. This rezoning-to-district process would be streamlined and shorter than the standard rezoning process. The overwhelming majority of these properties are located within the Broadway Plan area, specifically sites closest to the Millennium Line’s future stations on the Broadway extension, as well as southern areas within the area plan. For the Cambie Corridor Plan area, the properties are clustered near the Canada Line’s Oakridge-41st Avenue Station. In total, the City-initiated rezoning would apply to 4,294 parcels across the Broadway Plan and Cambie Corridor Plan areas. City of Vancouver City of Vancouver City of Vancouver Over the last few years, the municipal government performed some notable City-initiated rezonings of large single-family neighbourhood areas in the Cambie Corridor Plan, enabling more expedited townhouse developments as already prescribed by the area plan. However, the forthcoming changes are the largest standardized rezoning in Vancouver’s history, and align with the Government of British Columbia’s legislated requirements for the City and other municipal governments. This specifically aligns with provincial legislation relating to transit-oriented development at designated Transit-Oriented Areas and other regulatory changes. As well, through these changes, the City will standardize affordable housing requirements using newly enabled provincial inclusionary zoning powers. Additionally, the real estate industry and provincial officials have called individual site-specific rezoning applications as redundant if the proposed uses and built form are already enabled by an area plan. In addition to aligning with the Broadway Plan and Cambie Corridor Plan, the changes also follow the City’s 2022-approved Vancouver Plan. While there was strong support for the initiative during the public consultation earlier this year — especially for its potential to speed up much-needed housing — concerns were raised about neighbourhood character, infrastructure capacity, and construction impacts. City staff responded by noting that all developments will still undergo design review, and there will still be an opportunity for public input at the development permit application stage. Enhanced tenant protections will remain in place for areas with existing rental housing. A time-limited approach will allow current rezoning applicants to transition into the new zoning framework without redoing tenant relocation plans, as long as they submit development permits within one year of bylaw enactment. Currently, there are about 40 in-stream rezoning applications involving Tenant Relocation Plans within the proposed City-initiated rezoning areas. It is noted that some of these project applicants may withdraw their

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